Gas Reserves Investing: A Due Diligence Framework
Connect reserve estimates to ownership, operating assumptions, payment rights, reporting, and a practical exit.
Read field note · 7 minA reserve estimate is an input—not a complete investment case. Follow the connection from geological evidence to the actual interest, operating plan, and holder’s exit.
Identify the classification, effective date, evaluator, scope, unit, and assumptions. Keep field-wide quantities separate from the relevant economic interest.
Ask which actions and costs stand between the resource and any holder payment. Separate modeled project receipts from the payment rights in the documents.
Explore delays, cost changes, reporting gaps, counterparty failure, and exit restrictions as explicit hypothetical scenarios rather than predictions.
EIA’s definition of proved reserves depends on geological and engineering evidence and on existing economic and operating conditions. Estimates can change. They should not be presented as a fixed, immediately withdrawable inventory or as proof of a guaranteed holder return. [Source]
Organize the actual interest, operating dependencies, economic assumptions, reporting commitments, and exit terms. Each entry should point to a dated record and identify unresolved questions. This is a suggested research method; it is not a professional reserve valuation or a verification of title.
Geological, legal, operating, tax, and financial questions call for different expertise. This site does not recommend a project, allocate a portfolio, or confirm that a reserve-linked instrument is appropriate. Read the long-form framework below before treating a resource headline as an investment conclusion.
Connect reserve estimates to ownership, operating assumptions, payment rights, reporting, and a practical exit.
Read field note · 7 minDistinguish capacity from inventory and connect every important claim to evidence with an explicit scope and date.
Read field note · 7 minUnderstand the downside across the commodity, counterparties, digital records, custody arrangements, and exit terms.
Read field note · 7 minBuild your understanding, one clearly explained concept at a time.